Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.445752 0.516151 0.593321 0.684094 0.787844 0.902625 1.039135
2025-06-15 0.345641 0.445894 0.567157 0.724135 0.921441 1.160651 1.472062
2025-06-22 0.266668 0.372678 0.510539 0.701916 0.959533 1.292973 1.755755
2025-06-29 0.214273 0.320073 0.466160 0.680943 0.986691 1.403935 2.013617
2025-07-06 0.177298 0.280821 0.431472 0.664319 1.012205 1.509043 2.267683
2025-07-13 0.156691 0.261390 0.420974 0.678682 1.080290 1.676922 2.623202
2025-07-20 0.144648 0.252845 0.424763 0.713485 1.180614 1.899229 3.077774
2025-07-27 0.131996 0.241131 0.421453 0.735607 1.261954 2.098315 3.513076
2025-08-03 0.118652 0.226115 0.410440 0.742979 1.318893 2.262419 3.905604
2025-08-10 0.105660 0.209736 0.394779 0.739969 1.356966 2.397571 4.260463
2025-08-17 0.093615 0.193316 0.376837 0.730386 1.381744 2.511184 4.586865
2025-08-24 0.083363 0.178826 0.360508 0.721469 1.405964 2.624559 4.920496
2025-08-31 0.072256 0.161306 0.336790 0.696797 1.400219 2.687064 5.174495
2025-09-07 0.069856 0.161421 0.347358 0.739465 1.525491 2.997242 5.904788
2025-09-14 0.061103 0.146695 0.326362 0.716919 1.522158 3.068673 6.197452
2025-09-21 0.053629 0.133648 0.307135 0.695530 1.518392 3.137949 6.490311
2025-09-28 0.047487 0.122710 0.290984 0.678571 1.521481 3.219920 6.813308
2025-10-05 0.044473 0.118733 0.289579 0.693224 1.591765 3.440493 7.428458
2025-10-12 0.043181 0.118782 0.297233 0.728728 1.709835 3.767001 8.283134
2025-10-19 0.041081 0.116485 0.299152 0.751295 1.801516 4.045846 9.060263
2025-10-26 0.038228 0.111810 0.294846 0.758816 1.860083 4.259188 9.715447
2025-11-02 0.035055 0.105795 0.286526 0.755744 1.893904 4.421528 10.272883
2025-11-09 0.031851 0.099205 0.275958 0.745970 1.911006 4.548318 10.762033